EL ALZA DE LOS ALIMENTOS. Por Edgardo Arrivillaga.

Publicado en 08/22,2016

La Argentina siempre jugo un poco de contragolpecon respecto a los mercados cerealeros y carneos que fijan la estabilidadde los commodities en el mundo. Lo que hace algunos años se llamaba los alimentos primarios y las graves contradicciones que existen en un pais rico, pero politicamente raquitico que deberia poder alimentar a 400 millones de personas, aproximaadamente.

El problema que este esfuerzo, si fuera posible, tendria que disciplinar desde las semillas, los nutrientes y toda la cadena de comercializacion. El pais esta preparado para ello; tiene una mentalidad parasitaria y rentistica y no tendriamos siquiera gas ni petroleo, sino fuera por los generales Savio y Mosconi.

Hace 30 años, mas o menos, el Club de Roma, liderado por el ingeniero Aurelio Peccei, imagino un dólar proteina que equilibraria los mercados sujetandolos a la ley de la oferta y la demanda. Era una fantasia. Los mercados se autoregulan, recien ahora estan llegando a la etapa de los tratados de libre comercio que no le interesan al señor Trump ni a la señora Clinton, dos habiles mistificadores, pero que golpean directamente al centro neuralgico del sistema de produccion americano y mundial. El resultado de todo esto, producto de una poblacion mundial que llegara a los 8 mil millones en pocos años, sera que seremos gordos, mal alimentados y escasamente proteicos.

El gobierno argentino, que se la pasa inaugurando secretarias y subsecretarias con rango de ministerio, deberia tener un solo gran ente coordinador que seria el Ministerio del Habitat, lo cual daria jerarquia institucional para firmar acuerdos, establecer metas de produccion productivas y proyectos globales a largo plazo.

Se que estamos muy lejos de todo esto porque el gobierno es vacilante. Esta nota nutrida con elementos de la FAO apunta las certidumbres que se deberan hacer.

El índice de precios de los alimentos que elabora la Organización de Naciones Unidas para la Agricultura y la Alimentación (FAO) alcanzó un promedio de 151,8 puntos en abril, con un aumento del 0,7% respecto a marzo.

"El incremento de abril estuvo impulsado por los precios del aceite de palma y, en menor medida, los cereales, mientras que los precios del azúcar se redujeron después de un fuerte aumento en marzo", precisó en un comunicado la agencia especializada de Naciones Unidas, cuya sede central se encuentra en Roma.

El índice de precios de los alimentos de la FAO es un índice ponderado en base a los intercambios comerciales que hace el seguimiento de los precios internacionales de cinco grupos principales de productos básicos alimentarios: cereales, aceites vegetales, productos lácteos, carne y azúcar.

El pronóstico actualizado de la FAO sobre la cosecha mundial de cereales apunta a mercados estables para los productos básicos.

El declive de los precios en el último año reflejaba los abundantes suministros de alimentos, una desaceleración económica mundial y la mayor fortaleza del dólar, explica la nota.

El índice de precios de aceites vegetales de la FAO aumentó un 4,1%, debido en gran parte a una perspectiva negativa sobre la producción de aceite de palma de 2016, junto con una creciente demanda en todo el mundo.

El índice de precios de los cereales subió un 1,5% en abril, debido principalmente a las cotizaciones internacionales del maíz, influidas por un dólar más débil y el efecto indirecto del sector de las semillas oleaginosas.

Sin embargo, los precios del arroz se redujeron ligeramente, mientras que los mercados de trigo registraron subidas limitadas en medio de expectativas de grandes suministros de las cosechas en la nueva temporada.

El índice de precios de los productos lácteos de la FAO se redujo un 2,2%, al continuar creciendo las existencias de mantequilla y queso en los principales países exportadores.

El índice de precios de la carne subió por su parte un 0,8%, impulsado por el fortalecimiento de la demanda de carne de vacuno australiano en Estados Unidos.

El índice de precios del azúcar de la FAO cayó un 1,7% en abril después de un fuerte aumento del 17 por ciento del mes anterior. Aunque se mantiene la preocupación sobre la producción mundial de azúcar, Brasil -con diferencia, el principal exportador- ha tenido su segunda mayor cosecha en la historia y se prevé un descenso en el uso de la caña de azúcar para producir etanol.

Los subíndices del azúcar y los aceites vegetales son los únicos que están actualmente en niveles más altos que los de abril de 2015.

La FAO elevó ligeramente su pronóstico para la producción mundial de cereales en 2016, a cerca de 2.526 millones de toneladas, prácticamente la misma que en 2015 y, potencialmente, en vías de ser la segunda mayor cosecha mundial alcanzada hasta ahora, según la entidad.




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