ARGENTINA: CRISIS EN LA ECONOMÍA Y MARIO PERGOLINI EN CHINA. Por Edgardo Arrivillaga.

Publicado en 08/30,2016

En momentos en que el presidente Macri se prepara para viajar esta noche a China para intervenir como observador en el Foro de Países del Pacífico, los señores Alfonso Prat-Gay y Federico Sturzenegger se dedicaron a un eterno ping-pong como señores feudales que quieren reforzar sus áreas de influencia en desmedro de la sólida imagen argentina que el presidente pretende vender y que, una vez más, se ha hecho trizas como una cristalería mal engarzada.
Prat-Gay, que tiene una sensibilidad cercana a la social democracia, quiere darle prioridad al crecimiento para determinar si la inflación es o no un tema superado. Por su parte Sturzenegger, emboscado desde su torre de marfil, eligió un evento organizado por la Universidad de Tel Aviv para detallar que no estaban dadas las condiciones para el relajamiento de la política monetaria porque, entre otras cosas, un proceso de desinflación necesita de varios meses para considerarse como tal. Adujo también que las expectativas de inflación para 2017 aún se ubican por encima de las expectativas de la autoridad monetaria. Para peor señaló, metiéndose en un área que le corresponde al ministro Triacca, a los empresarios que no deben otorgar aumentos salariales pensando en la inflación pasada sino en la que viene.
La estrategia de Sturzenegger, que efectivamente podría terminar en un organismo internacional, lo cual tal vez sería deseable para el país, retoma algunos papers que han estado circulando en los que unos jovencitos sostienen que el año que viene, si existiera una inflación del cero %, la paritaria negociada estaría fijando un salario real por encima del año anterior. El autor de estos papers y de un libro es un joven economista casi desconocido que señaló recientemente que Keynes era una basura. Aunque realmente desconozco todavía la consistencia de las obras de este jovencito.
En la cadena de responsabilidades la culpa cae del lado de Sturzenegger porque es el peor momento para demostrar la inexistencia de una política económica coherente y su terquedad ante una situación que exige, al menos, una vidriera unificada si se va a negociar un paquete de yuanes a China facilitados por dos personas: el padre del presidente, Franco Macri, y el actual embajador en Beijing, Diego Guelar.
La Argentina sigue creyendose el pais de los cuatro climas y de las infinitas posibilidades, pero esta manejada por un grupo de irresponsables que el presidente Macri hace entrar en la cancha con la astucia de un técnico de futbol. Esperemos que no siga el camino de Goldman Sach, propietario de un paquete interesante del grupo Clarin que junto con Lehman Brothers ejerce una acción superlativa en el trazado de las políticas monetaristas que actúan dentro del propio gobierno y en el mundo en general.
Pocas veces hemos visto un sistema de implosión tan bien estructurado por un funcionario narcisista de inevitable apellido suizo. Entre tanto el gobierno ha entrado en conflicto con las ventas de las tarjetas de crédito. El objetivo es limitar la posición hegemonica de la tarjeta Visa dentro de la estructura llamada Prisma que las contiene a todas.
Mientras tanto, vamos hacia China. Vamos alegremente hacia China demostrando la endeblez de un presidente terco, ineficiente, simpatico y de escasa cultura. Una especie de Mario Pergolini a cargo de la vacilante estructura administrativa de la gestión económica del pais.


Comentarios

  1. 08/31,2016 | 04:39

    Me parece a mí o lo están serruchando entre todos?

    Massa mandó a Stolbizer como caballo de Troya. Después de los Pimpinela del gabinete económico, cerramos a toda ópera con Carrio. En fin... verdaderamente espero que Dios lo ilumine y a nosotros nos proteja.

    Saludos a todos.

  2. 08/31,2016 | 05:32

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  3. 08/31,2016 | 13:47

    Estimado EA

    Sturzeneger es un buen presidente de un banco que debería cerrarse.Es un ´payaso ese muchacho P Gray que mejor que se vaya a su casa(fue funcionario de los Kisner!!!)
    El joven a quien se refire Ud creo que debe ser Millei.Creo que sus ideas son buenas.
    Saludos

  4. 08/31,2016 | 13:47

    Estimado EA

    Sturzeneger es un buen presidente de un banco que debería cerrarse.Es un ´payaso ese muchacho P Gray que mejor que se vaya a su casa(fue funcionario de los Kisner!!!)
    El joven a quien se refire Ud creo que debe ser Millei.Creo que sus ideas son buenas.
    Saludos

  5. 08/31,2016 | 18:26

    Estimado. Efectivamente el joven es Millei que tiene la peregrina teoría que la inversión productiva debería tener cero gravamen. Es lógico porque no conoce el funcionamiento del Estado, ignora que necesitamos una fuerza de seguridad seria que hay que privatizar la cárceles y convertirlas en unidades de producción, que hay que cumplír con la clase pasiva antes de que el malthusianismo haga su trabajo. Pero esto es propio de la gente muy joven, pre thatcheriana que carece en general de experiencia en la administración del Estado. No es mi caso ni tampoco el suyo. Cordialmente, Edgardo.

  6. 08/31,2016 | 19:46

    Estimado Edgardo

    Milei es un austriaco, aunque no de los mejores:En la misma línea se inscriben Jose Benegas;Cachanosky,Espert,...bueno la lista es muy grande.Ninguno de ellos a llegado(ni llegara)a tener una gravitación en el pensamiento nacional como Lanata,Lomgobardi;Fernadez Diaz,Leuco etc etc etc

    Ahora no se si dentro de 50 años no dominan el pensamiento
    Con el respeto de siempre lo saluda
    Ramon

  7. 09/01,2016 | 00:36

    Debe tratarse de un pariente o de un homónimo porque el Milei que yo escuché es un joven rollizo que no creo que tenga mas de 32 años. No puede tratarse de la misma persona, evidentemente. El componente económico antes de 50 años será dominado por los burócratas tecnológicos. Yo siempre me remito a los clásicos y no creo que el reemplazo de ninguna elite desarticule la pulsión instintiva, voraz por el control de las naciones. Soy bastante darwinista en eso. El momento más brillante del liberalismo 'progresista argentino se desarrolló después de la batalla de Pavón hasta 1935, más o menos. Pero ese liberalismo lo hicieron la gran muñeca de Roca, el progresismo autoritario de Sarmiento y desde luego Bartolome Mitre. Después de 1930 esa articulación se desarticuló. Hicimos todas las elecciones de política internacional equivocadas para luego terminar abrazados derechamente con Venezuela, Ecuador y Bolivia. Hoy algunas almas bellas están profundamente preocupadas por lo que ocurrió en Brasil. No veo muy bien porqué. El juicio a Dilema tuvo una frialdad británica y el gobierno argentino, a menudo critico, he hecho lo correcto. Reconocer a la cámara de enjuiciamiento. No inhabilitar el futuro político de esta señora y ahora deberá encontrar una política económica. Lo,que sale herido de todo esto es el Mercosur y todas sus estructuras colaterales, como la Unasur y otros elementos puramente retóricos. Es todo lo que podemos hacer por el Brasil que sigue su largo proceso de transformismo. Pero las diferencias son muchas. Nosotros éramos el virreynato mas pobre e ineficaz de la Corona. En tango que el Brasil abandono lisa y llanamente Portugal y trasladó 15 mil funcionarios de la corte para fundar una potencia en Sudamerica. El tratado de Tordesillas favoreció al Brasil y perjudicó nuestros intereses colocándonos en una miríada de países tan trascendentes como el Paraguay, Bolivia, Ecuador
    Costa Rica y finalmente Venezuela. Pero insisto, cualquier clase dominante tiene un objetivo comun, perpetuarse en el poder. Lo vemos hasta con los propios jesuitas que ya están en una encarnizada batalla entre Benedicto y Bergoglio. En fin, el tema me excede estas lineas. Yo pienso que usted es un hombre de Hayex, pero ese diseño funcionaba con el despegue de la revolución industrial. También con Keynes hay una confusión. El economista escribió para un programa de contingencia y esa famosa frase en el largo plazo todos estaremos muertos, tiene una sutil ironía. Esto implica que si los muertos resucitarán, qué habría que hacer con ellos. Pues simplemente volver a matarlos, estimado Ramón. Bueno, pienselo. Cordialmente, Edgardo.

  8. 09/01,2016 | 19:26

    Estimado
    Muy buena su relación!

    De todas maneras pienso que es mejor equivocarse con lo que va a venir y acertar con lo que paso
    Saludos

  9. 09/01,2016 | 19:48

    Como era previsible en Buenos Aires los partidarios del pro palestino D'Elia se enfrentaron en la capital argentina con las corrientes antichavistas que pretendían insertarse en torno a la embajada venezolana. Este ridículo se acentuará en las próximas horas ante la embajada del Brasil cuyo nuevo gobierno constitucional han sido reconocido por la cancillería argentina. Estos fenómenos se deben a que las sectas totalitarias que no aceptan los juzgamientos en el Brasil y las vacilaciones del régimen totalitarios post chavista quieren levantar la fuerza de la calle contra fenómenos que como en el caso de Brasil han sido genuinamente reconocidos por la cancillería argentina. Entre tanto, la policía argentina neutral frente a la embajada venezolana ha demostrado una vez más la incapacidad de la ex frepasista Patricia Bullrich para establecer mínimas medidas de seguridad. El presidente Mauricio Macri, entre tanto,continúa su peregrinación en China y se convierte gradualmente en una conducción off shore absolutamente lejana de la realidad del país. Solamente Obama que también concurre a la Cumbre del G 20 puede evitar la absoluta disolución del ingeniero Macri en su propio país ya que sus tácticas lo acercan a la partidocracia más cerril y oportunista que han llevado directamente a la actual crisis argentina. Edgardo Arrivillaga.

  10. 09/01,2016 | 20:02

    Porqué no previeron los incidentes. O desconocen como se maneja D'Elia con todo lo que tiene que ver con Venezuela, Irán y Palestina. Michelle.

  11. 09/02,2016 | 03:13

    Macri debería aprender de Morales...

  12. 09/02,2016 | 08:25

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  13. 09/02,2016 | 12:25

    Perón en el exilio hasta que volvió, se convirtió progresivamente en el árbitro de la política argentina. Sus enviados, oficiales u oficiosos. Los enviados ídem que mandaban los políticos de todos los signos a hablar, negociar o acomodarse. Todo remitía a él.

    Depuesto, escarnecido, perseguido, con razón o sin ella, terminó volviendo porque la sociedad no sabía cómo resolver ninguno de los problemas que nos aquejan, no desde 1930, falacia asquerosa, sino prácticamente desde que somos un país. Un país de opereta, berreta, con una historia mentirosa desde antes de 1810 incluso, poblada de payasos ilustres y chantas.

    Y todo lo que ocurrió hasta su vuelta y hasta que murió, fue la prueba de la absoluta incapacidad de la sociedad argentina de cambiar.

    Pasaron años de permanentes corsi e ricorsi. A veces horribles, a veces cómicos, casi siempre patéticos.

    Luego del huracán populista de los últimos 30 años, que nos dejó a la intemperie total, la sociedad pidió un cambio (otra vez!).

    Vino el cambio. Pero como siempre nada es lo que parece. De vuelta, salvo la ilusión (relativa en mi caso) del principio, volvemos a lo mismo. La sociedad argentina es incapaz de resolver SU problema eterno. No hay salida.

    Entonces, como en los 50', pero no desde un exilio sino desde una posición de poder mucho mayor, aparece un nuevo Perón en su Puerta de Hierro. Solo que este no necesita ser presidente, está por encima de eso. Y como Perón, para lograr sus propósitos, nos llena de enviados. En este caso son todos oficiosos, todos dicen hablar por él. Aparecen tipos como Vera, service de cuarta protector de puticlubes y denunciador de la competencia. Un payaso impresentable como Morenito, guapo con guardaespaldas y vendedor de panchos con Milani y sus equipos de Inteligencia robados. Un Grabois, delegado encargado de agitar al lumpenaje. Me dirán, esos se adjudican la representación. Pero Marcelo Sánchez Sorondo? Es la eminencia gris de Francisco, viene a "coordinar" los planes de Francisco. Porque de él hablamos, subestimarlo es un error garrafal. Está consumando la destrucción definitiva del Orden Romano. Y está terminando de dividir a los argentinos, en lo más terrible, su religiosidad, ya bastante erosionada.

    Y el gobierno cada vez más entrampado, también envía embajadores al Vaticano. Y él, como Perón, recibe a casi todos, los palmea, los bendice. Jesuita tenía que ser.
    El problema es que no sé que carajo son los reales planes de Francisco. Solamente que, como siempre, el tema va a ser, no importa como, "la liberación".

    Volveremos a la liberación, terminaremos con la dependencia, entraremos por fin en el milenarismo populista en serio, seremos felices y todo eso con la bendición de Francisco.

    No sigo escribiendo porque lo que pensaba poner me va a enojar mucho más.

    Abrazo.

  14. 09/02,2016 | 14:09

    Desde el inicio señalé que Bergoglio era un Papa cismático y lamentablemente no me he equivocado. Su objetivo es canalizar la revolución social bajo el manto de la Iglesia Católica, aun a riesgo de quebrarla. Es el triunfo de Camilo Torres, 30 años más tarde. De todos modos los dados no están totalmente echados. El Papa que me representa era Juan Pablo II que demolió al social imperialismo, empujó la independencia croata y terminó acorralando a Serbia. Pero la situación ha cambiado. Hoy los Estados Unidos están profundamente divididos por cuestiones raciales y en Europa las corrientes nacionalistas afloran. No olvide usted que la lucha contra Siria tiene actores diferentes, por un lado los legítimos intereses de Erdogan contra el estado kurdo. Por el otro lado el ataque de la izquierda americana contra Siria, acaba de unirse Australia al contingente y si usted observa con atención hay más muertos entre Siria, Turquía y Teheran que los piqueteros palestinos contra la vieja bandera anti israelí. La muerte de Nisman levitara nuevamente en la Argentina porque ya tenemos una cierta idea de cómo fue ejecutado. Nisman despejó un camino de entendimiento entre Estados Unidos y Teheran y esto lo veremos en tiempos breves. La situación argentina es patética porque este es un gobierno que debería ser claramente de centro derecha pero está infisionado de elementos frepasistas, radicales del pueblo, es decir alfonsinistas, y gente de izquierda que objetivamente favorece los objetivos de Bergoglio. Sanchez Sorondo es uno de los tantos hijos de Marcelo pero está objetivamente muy alejado de la realidad argentina. Dos de las casas de Baez han sido requisadas para alojamiento de la Gendarmería nacional, que como he dicho se está convirtiendo en la única fuerza confiable en nuestra lucha contra el crimen organizado. Pero allí también hay contradicciones. El gobierno de Macri tiene un Ministerio de Seguridad absolutamente ineficiente y en muchos casos hay jóvenes abogados que han hecho pasantías en universidades americanas y son estructuralmente liberales en el sentido americano del término. Sume a esto toda la prédica de Zaffaroni y tendrá un panorama de absoluta confusión doctrinaria y administrativa en el manejo de las estrategias nacionales. Cordialmente, Edgardo Arrivillaga.

  15. 09/02,2016 | 14:11

    Usted se refiere a Evo Morales, el boliviano. Saludos, EA.

  16. 09/03,2016 | 14:48

    El portavoz del FBI se ha visto obligado a revelar que Hillary Clinton sufrió un ataque cerebral en el 2013. Esta situación médica le provoca crisis de memoria y cierta dificultad para manejar la gran cantidad de teléfonos que se ve obligada a utilizar en sus funciones como candidata a la presidencia de los Estados Unidos en las próximas elecciones de noviembre. Los agujeros de memoria de la señora Clinton la han obligado a instalar en el sótano de su casa un servidor privado sumamente caro y que evita pasar a través de las lineas de comunicación normales. Este tipo de servidores son absolutamente privados, cuestan varios miles de dólares pero permiten como un efecto espejo encender la memoria de las señora Clinton para que no aparezca totalmente desenfocada de los temas que debe tratar. Esto explicaría la persistencia de Donald Trump en una carrera presidencial que marcará los próximos años del liderazgo americano. Por su parte en Francia, la señora Marine Le Pen, hablando sin notas durante 45 minutos, expresó su firme intención de proponer un referéndum para alejarse como lo hicieron recientemente los ingleses, de la Unión Europea. La misma posición comienza a desarrollarse en sectores nacional-neutralistas de Alemania que empiezan a proponer también una toma de distancia de la Unión y probablemente el abandono del euro, ya que se encuentran sometidos a una Europa que funciona a tres velocidades, tal como lo había anticipado Mitterrand en su momento. Por otra parte trascendió un informe de la Mossad, el servicio secreto israelí, en donde se baraja la posibilidad de que desde Turquía todo el arco balcánico y la propia Unión Europea surjan más de 20 entidades nacionales que serian el precio a pagar por la crisis del bipolarismo concertado entre la ex Unión Soviética y los Estados Unidos de América. Son todos temas que tendremos que seguir en lo próximos años. Michelle.

  17. 09/04,2016 | 20:31

    El Presidente se traslada en jet privado y duerme en hotel de 10.000 dlres la noche, al estado quebrado le cuesta casi 1 millón de dlres el viaje del pasante y consorte a China. El estado también financia a grupos marginales para que emputezcan la vida del ciudadano de a pie,,, en fin, nada cambió! No entendieron nada.

    Buen domingo!

  18. 09/05,2016 | 02:59

    Vea, en general los presidentes se trasladan con una cierta jerarquía. No vamos a caer en la imbecilidad de Rodolfo Galimberti que quería transformar el Sheraton en un hospital de niños. Pero el 'problema es otro. De confirmarse la información que me han trasmitido de Estados Unidos, los mejicanos que están legales y en regla con la Green Card también están de acuerdo con la edificación del muro. Esto explica el duro piso que mantiene Trump en las encuestas dentro de la propia comunidad mejicana que no tiene el menor interés en abrir las puertas a una mayor concurrencia. Todos somos liberales, verdad, pero algunos somos mas liberales que los otros. Saludos, Edgardo Arrivillaga.

  19. 09/05,2016 | 13:30

    Desde ya que no caigo en esa imbecilidad. Pero para un estado quebrado, 800.000 dlres sigue siendo muchísimo dínero. EL horno no está para boyos como estos...

  20. 09/05,2016 | 23:21

    Vea, Valería, Macri es un hombre rico y por sus propios méritos. El padre también es un hombre rico y el abuelo era un cartero de Calabria. Desde Marcelo T. de Alvear no tenemos un hombre rico a la cabeza del Estado. Tenemos un montón de delincuentes. Macri es un hombre bastante austero, casado con la familia Awada, que también son gente rica. No pertenecen al medio pelo jauretcheano. Adicionalmente, me acaban de informar que mi primo, 2 veces presidente del Uruguay, sin reelección, se presenta por tercera vez para fumigar a la pandilla de lumpenes que constituyen el frente amplio. Su padre se iba con Carlos Gardel a París, llevándose una vaca para beber la leche de sus propias estancias. Eso no le impidió ser un liberal progresista, un campeón de esgrima, el artífice del pacto del Club Naval, por eso el Uruguay no tiene presos políticos y al mismo tiempo electrificar los saladeros que los teníamos en Entre Ríos, no como el miserable de Uribarry que hace malabarismos con las cuentas montoneras para beneficio propio. Abur.

  21. 09/06,2016 | 04:09

    Todo muy lindo pero la guita la pone el estado, no la pone el hombre millonario casado con mujer "rica". El viaje costó casi 1 millón de dlres, nunca repare en estas cosas, pero los tiempos no son propicios. Tampoco lo eran con la delincuente de Tolosa. Pero ahora lo son menos. Los ánimos están caldeados, y si es "austero" es momento de demostrarlo. Y no hablo de los ánimos socioeconómicos de Luisito y Esteche . ENtiendame Edgardo, hablo del ciudadano de a pie.

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