TRUMP ABRE EL JUEGO A TAIWÁN. Por Edgardo Arrivillaga.

Publicado en 12/03,2016

En su primer gesto de independencia politica de la administracion Obama, el nuevo presidente americano Donald Trump, tomo contacto directo con la presidente de Taiwan, Tsai Ing-Wen.
Taiwan no es una pieza insignificante. El ex presidente Chiang Kai- Shek no era sintoista sino protestante, una curiosidad que se debe a la persistente accion baptista sobre las islas. Taiwan tampoco es un conglomerado de islas, sino que simplemente quiere decir Estrecho de mar entre dos islas: tai-wan. La medida no es incoherente con la nominacion del nuevo Secretario de Seguridad James Mattis, un general de 5 estrellas especializado en contra insurgencia.
Las relaciones con China continental tienen al menos tres focos de desvinculacion: el Tibet, Hong Kong, negociada por Margaret Thatcher con Beijing a condicion de mantener los bancos ingleses, y por ultimo Taiwan que es heredero directo de la particion sancionada por Richard Nixon y su Secretario de Estado, Henry Kissinger, mediante una partida de ping pong.
Hoy la isla esta ferreamente protegida y seria un estribo de aproximacion para jaquear a China continental, que solo cuenta con 80 bombas nucleares para evitar el desarrollo de un ejercito de mas de 20 millones hombres.
La jugada de Donald Trump es bastante clara. Todos apuntaban a Rusia pero ahora se ve que el dumping comercial que realmente le preocupa es China continental. Tendremos dias activos a partir de enero.


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  1. 12/03,2016 | 15:44

    Previsible lo de Trump.

  2. 12/04,2016 | 21:04

    Como era previsible los chinos continentales han reaccionado contra los objetivos nacionalistas del presidente Donald Trump. Si bien es sumamente improbable un ataque chino contra los chinos de Taiwan es bastante razonable suponer el disparo de misiles desde Corea del Norte en las aguas cercanas a Japón. La irresponsabilidad del presidente norcoreano es abismal y solo podrá ser contenida por el fuego producto de Japón y de la flota norteamericana. Esta es una vieja estrategia la de Corea del Norte que consistía en amagar maniobras bélicas por intercambio de alimentos. El juego lo conocemos y sabemos exactamente como termina. El segundo Muro de Berlin ha caído la política del general Mac Arthur podría estar de regreso. Edgardo Arrivillaga.

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    When, just nine days later, Trump told Fox News Sunday the US would not "be bound by the one-China policy", Beijing simply reiterated that acknowledgment of one China is fundamental, and non-negotiable, for healthy ties.

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    Yet when Trump told the Wall Street Journal on Sunday "Everything is under negotiation including one China," reinforcing the impression that he intends to use Taiwan as a bargaining chip, Beijing did not go beyond what it had already said.

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