FRANCIA: LA INCÓGNITA MACRON. Por Edgardo Arrivillaga.

Publicado en 05/08,2017

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El triunfo de la dupla ruso-alemana frente a la líder populista Marine Le Pen es sólo el comienzo de una larga batalla que empezará a dirimirse en las legislativas del mes próximo. Marine Le Pen perdió por la sombra implacable de su padre y por las astucias de ese gran florentino que fue Francois Mitterrand.

Mitterrand, que cambió varias veces de primer ministro, inventó el Frente Nacional como espantapájaros para el progresismo. Al tiempo se garantizó la ausencia de huelgas, sobre todo las ferroviarias, nombrando al comunista Fiterman al frente de ese dicasterio. Durante el largo reinado de Mitterrand -14 años, es decir una presidencia y media gaullista- el francés cambió varios primer ministros a medida que las necesidades de su política exterior lo impulsaban, pero no pudo dar fuerza y nervio a la fuerza de intervención franco-alemana que sólo sirvió para expulsar al coronel Kadafi de sus inverosímiles proyectos de crear una República Arabe Unida. El creador del partido Baath, Michel Aflaq, está para recordárselo.

Mitterrand tuvo también que utilizar su duplicidad en la guerra de las Malvinas, donde por un lado entregó claves de intercepción a Gran Bretaña y por el otro apoyó fuertemente, a través de la empresa Aeroespacial, la venta de Exocets a los argentinos. Los italianos, más mesurados, entregaron también a la Argentina el avión anti guerrilla producido por la firma Aermacchi que dio excelentes resultados para vulnerar a la flota británica. Finalmente, se dio el lujo de instalar una pirámide masónica en las puertas del Louvre y se fue a morir a Egipto, reconociendo por primera vez la existencia de su hija extramatrimonial, ajena a su larga relación con la reescapada de Auschwitz.

Básicamente el grupo decisor en política internacional que utilizaba Mitterrand, ignoro cuáles serán los hombres que acompañarán a Macron, eran Regis Debray, Alain Rouquié y Antonio Blanca que planificaban las estrategias de su jefe.

Los problemas de Macron serán otros. Si bien se ha corrido en un sentido pregaullista en las últimas horas, aún se ignora todo sobre un equipo de gobierno dividido y que deberá utilizar una gran muñeca política para restablecer las relaciones con Rusia muy deterioradas. Es la primera vez en 48 horas que se ven inusuales manifestaciones en Varsovia –la Starmiesta-y esto ha quedado rápidamente opacado por el repunte del euro, cosa lógica porque es la moneda de todos los banqueros, y las vacilaciones del dólar, que paradójicamente ayudan a Donald Trump en su política de aspirar todos los dólares, relanzar la industria americana, empezando por el proletariado de cuello azul que le ha dado el triunfo, pero que no ha podido hacer lo mismo con la señora Le Pen porque como decía De Gaulle los franceses votan dos veces: la primera con el corazón y la segunda con los intestinos. Macron sigue siendo una incógnita pese a su buena voluntad porque no es ni Servan-Schreiber ni Mendes France.

El otro gran perdedor en estas elecciones es la Iglesia Católica. El Gran Inquisidor de Roma, según fuentes confiables, estará dentro de algunos días frente a la persona a la cual él califico de satánica y demoníaca. El tema católico, que ha hecho que los franceses tuvieran por largo tiempo un Vaticano alternativo en la ciudad de Avignon, es otro asunto sobre el cual los comentaristas han reparado poco. Si Macron ha logrado sepultar a la izquierda, en parte por un despliegue mediático incuestionable y las bolsas de hoy así lo reflejan, Marine Le Pen deberá reformular su plataforma, integrar un grupo de asesores marcadamente centristas y sepultar definitivamente a su padre. Otro tema a considerar es el gran nivel de ausentismo que han tenido estas elecciones. Ausentismo que se esperaba pero que lo han convertido geométricamente en el tercer partido de Francia y esto se hará sentir en los días venideros.

Por otra parte, en los próximos días comienza otra carrera política y por ahora lo único estable es el Brexit, que siempre elegirá la relación privilegiada con los Estados Unidos, la última nación guerrera de Occidente.

Y esto es todo cuanto puedo decir, tal vez poco, en momentos en que las fuerzas en presencia continúan su desarrollo.



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